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(33). Invested alongside private sector capital, this is expected to enable £600 million of finance to create high-quality jobs and help UK patients benefit from more ground-breaking treatments and care. Issuance by auction and syndication is planned to be split by maturity and type as follows: £51.0 billion of short conventional gilts (32.7% of total issuance), £34.2 billion of medium conventional gilts (21.9% of total issuance), £42.3 billion of long conventional gilts (27.1% of total issuance), £20.6 billion of index-linked gilts (13.2% of total issuance). The policy changes set out in the Budget, including the spending totals that have been set for the CSR, have been delivered while ensuring the current budget is in surplus, public sector net investment does not exceed 3% of GDP and debt is kept under control. Budget FY 2020 - Budget of the U.S. Government, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2020 This is a substantial package well targeted at what it is seeking to achieve. Alongside the Budget, the government and UK Statistics Authority (UKSA) are launching a consultation, announced on 4 September 2019,[footnote 9] on UKSA’s proposal to address the shortcomings of the Retail Prices Index (RPI) measure of inflation. This new five-year programme will help more people into homeownership and help those most at risk of homelessness. G20 Finance Ministers last week committed to monitoring the evolution of COVID-19 including its impact on markets and economic conditions, and highlighted their readiness to take further actions to aid in the response to the virus, support the economy and maintain the resilience of the financial system. Institutes of Technology – The government will provide £120 million to bring further education and higher education providers in England together with employers to open up to eight new Institutes of Technology. For those on the highest incomes, the annual allowance tapers down from £40,000. It is a Budget that lays the foundations of the UK’s future prosperity and delivers on the government’s promises to the British people. A company could choose a fiscal year ending on September 30 if it’s doing a lot of work with the U.S. government. Recognising the energy efficiency benefits of heat networks, the Budget confirms funding for the Heat Networks Investment Project for a further year to 2022 and provides £270 million of new funding to enable new and existing heat networks to adopt low carbon heat sources. The funding could also allow rapid screening of potential therapeutics and support clinical trials to inform treatment and improve patient outcomes. (15). It looks likely that responding to the coronavirus outbreak (covid-19) will be at the centre of Wednesday’s Budget. The baseline scenario is that the UK will exit the IP at this time without a future relationship being agreed with the EU. The OBR expects annual consumption growth to be 1.1% and for there to be no growth in business investment in 2020 (Chart 1.2). In the ‘baseline’ scenario it assumes the virus is contained largely in China and revised down expectations of global growth in 2020 from 2.9% to 2.4%. Retail Prices Index consultation – Alongside the Budget, the government and UK Statistics Authority (UKSA) are launching a consultation, announced on 4 September 2019,[footnote 111] on UKSA’s proposal to address the shortcomings of the Retail Prices Index (RPI) measure of inflation. This investment is a first step in the government’s National Data Strategy to unlock the power of data across government and the wider economy, while building trust in its use. ↩, CPIH extends CPI to include costs associated with owning, maintaining and living in one’s own home as well as council tax. The Budget sets out a further package to widen the scope of SSP and make it more accessible. This will support hardworking people to balance their caring responsibilities with work, particularly women who disproportionately undertake unpaid caring activities. The CSR will be delivered within the fiscal rules set out in section 1.12. Further detail and explanation can be found in the OBR’s report. The government will invest that money in the people, ideas and industries that will cement the UK’s world-leading position in science and technologies ranging from nuclear fusion to electric vehicles and life sciences. ↩, ‘Economic and Fiscal Outlook’, OBR, March 2020. COVID-19 response fund – HM Treasury is creating an emergency response fund, set aside to ensure the National Health Service (NHS) and other public services have the resources they need to tackle the impacts of COVID-19. 2 Output gap measured as a percentage of potential. This includes measures to crack down on tax abuse in the construction industry, illicit tobacco, and among big business, as well as measures to tackle the promoters of tax avoidance schemes. The legislation also includes a new power which permits the government to confirm by secondary legislation when new social security benefits introduced by the UK government or any of the devolved administrations will be tax exempt. ↩, ‘Fiscal Risks Report 2019’; Office for Budget Responsibility; July 2019. The special rate WDA of 6% will apply to higher polluting cars with emissions above 50g/km. Research and innovation lead to better products, services and processes. The UK’s commitment to protecting the natural environment extends beyond Great Britain and Northern Ireland and into the UK Overseas Territories. Fintech review and delivery panel – The government has invited Ron Kalifa OBE to lead a major review into the fintech sector. The government will consult on the design of this relief. Productivity remains low compared to other countries and unevenly distributed across the country. This will allow the government to vary import duty where it considers this appropriate, having regard to relevant international agreements and obligations. This annex reproduces the OBR’s key forecasts for the economy and public finances. There is a risk that spending will be misallocated because there is so much more new capital to go around while current spending remains tight. The Chancellor has a fiscal target to ensure that current spending is no higher than tax receipts, and so borrowing is for investment only. Chart 1.11 which shows the change in government spending as a share of GDP over time, shows that tough decisions made in the aftermath of the financial crisis have restored the public finances to health and the government can now afford to invest more in public services and growing the economy. Following consultation in spring 2019, the government will introduce a new Plastic Packaging Tax from April 2022 to incentivise the use of recycled plastic in packaging and help tackle the scourge of plastic in the natural environment. In recognition of their excellence and global reach, the government will increase funding for the UK’s foremost specialist institutions by £80 million over the next five years. The Budget also announces additional housing investments in York Central, Harlow and North Warwickshire totalling £328 million. (35, 44). The Budget announces that UKEF will permanently retain this additional capacity as well as have a new £2 billion lending facility for projects supporting clean growth and a new £1 billion facility to support overseas buyers of UK defence and security goods and services. This doesn’t look consistent with Mr Osborne’s mantra that the government should fix the roof while the sun is shining. (39). The real value of fuel duty has fallen 18% since 2010, and by 30% relative to the plans the Coalition inherited. Reviewing PFI contracts – The government has retired the PFI and PF2 models, but there are nearly 600 existing PFI contracts in England. Public sector net debt is expected to continue to fall over the forecast, from 79.5% in 2019-20, to a low of 75.0% in 2021-22 before rising slightly to 75.2% in 2024-25. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated, Government efficiency, transparency and accountability, Annex C: OBR’s economic and fiscal outlook, nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/support-for-those-affected-by-covid-19, Letter from the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Whole of Government Accounts 2017 to 2018, ‘Measuring Intangible Capital in the Public Sector’, Getting smart about intellectual propery and other intangibles in the public sector: Budget 2018, ‘Public Value Framework and supplementary guidance, National funding formula tables for schools and high needs: 2020 to 2021, Schools, pupils and their characteristics, Core spending power: provisional local government finance settlement 2020 to 2021, ‘The economic impact of broadband: evidence from, ‘Flood risk begins to recede but public are warned to be vigilant’, Survey of Personal Incomes (SPI) 2017-18 data, ‘31 million taxpayers to get April tax cut’, ‘Children, young people and digital reading’, Rough sleeping snapshot in England: autumn 2019, ‘Unlocking digital competition, Report of the Digital Competition Expert panel’, ‘Capital Gains Tax Entrepreneur’s Relief: Behaviours and Motivations’, ‘International Comparison of the UK research base, ‘Reducing UK emissions: 2018 Progress Report to Parliament’, ‘Transport Statistics Great Britain 2019’, ‘Economic crime plan 2019 to 2022’, HM Treasury and Home Office, July 2019, ‘Strategic investment and public confidence’, ‘Private Finance Initiative and Private Finance 2 projects: 2018 summary data’, ‘Corporate Capital Loss Restriction: consultation on delivery’, ‘Review of WLTP and vehicle taxes: summary of responses’, ‘Call for evidence: simplification of partial exemption and the Capital Goods Scheme’, ‘Spring Statement 2019: Written Ministerial Statement’, ‘Disguised remuneration: independent loan charge review’, ‘Disguised remuneration: independent loan charge review, ‘HM Revenue and Customs Update: Written Statement – HCWS61’, ‘Call for evidence: the operation of Insurance Premium Tax’, https://www.gov.uk/government/news/loans-sale-to-return-49-billion-to-uk-taxpayers, ‘Letter from Savid Javid, former Chancellor of the Exchequer’, ‘Whole of Government Accounts 2017 to 2018’, Coronavirus (COVID-19): guidance and support, Check how the new Brexit rules affect you, Transparency and freedom of information releases. Levelling up: what might it mean for public spending? Total departmental spending is set to grow twice as fast as the economy over the CSR period. (17). [footnote 33] The second Road Investment Strategy (RIS2) will spend over £27 billion between 2020 and 2025. 2 Consistent with Manual on Government Deficit and Debt, Eurostat, 2019. By confirming that the headline corporation tax rate will remain at 19% in 2020, the lowest in the G20,[footnote 56] the Budget ensures that the UK will continue to be an attractive place to do business while allowing the government to take action to address the most important challenges businesses face and increase funding for infrastructure and vital public services. Higher expenditure on welfare, company tax credits, capital transfers associated with new student loans, and capital spending by local government are the main reasons for this increase. The CSR will set Resource DEL budgets for three years to 2023-24 inclusive and Capital DEL funding for departments to 2024-25. The forecast does not reflect the now global spread of COVID-19 or an outbreak in the UK. This follows a long tradition of Chancellors announcing tax increases in the 12 months following an election. Apprenticeships also provide the opportunity for people to learn valuable skills and get good jobs. Over the forecast, the OBR has revised down its forecast for cumulative GDP growth by 0.5 percentage points, largely reflecting downward revisions to potential productivity and net migration. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimates that the UK economy grew by 1.4% in 2019, 0.1 percentage points higher than in 2018. The Budget provides significant levels of funding for public services to meet the economic challenges and priorities of today, and to address the long-term challenge of low productivity growth. As a first step, BEIS will lead the development of a digital service to provide businesses with tailored information about appropriate sources of support. The government will provide an additional £15 million to improve our offer to victims. SR 2020 figures account for the OBR’s assumed underspend. Public bodies are spread across the country and this support will help level-up regional innovation capability and networks outside of the South East. RHDI per head grew by 0.3% in the year to Q3 2019, down from 1.0% in the year to Q2 2019. [footnote 36]. Land availability, as constrained by the planning system, is the most significant barrier to building more houses. The government is committed to levelling up investment across nations and regions to improve living standards nationally, as well as to address disparities in economic and social outcomes. To view this licence, visit nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3 or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: psi@nationalarchives.gov.uk. [footnote 10] The Chancellor also confirms that the Asset Purchase Facility (APF) will remain in place for the financial year 2020-21. ↩, Getting smart about intellectual propery and other intangibles in the public sector: Budget 2018; HM Treasury; October 2018 ↩, Spending Round 2019; HM Treasury; September 2019. The supplementary document ‘Overview of Tax Legislation and Rates’, published alongside the Budget, provides a more detailed explanation of tax measures. Public safety is the government’s top priority in its response to COVID-19 and it is taking firm and comprehensive action, consistent with the best scientific evidence. (19). The Budget therefore allocates an additional £304 million to enable local authorities to take immediate steps to reduce nitrogen dioxide emissions. There are a couple of various ways calendars will help us perform this. This reduction will only affect individuals with total income (including pension accrual) over £300,000. - David Phillips - Download here. ↩, ‘National Infrastructure Assessment’, National Infrastructure Commission, July 2018. This will deliver a range of local transport schemes, including an iconic new Central Park Bridge in Plymouth, a significant increase in the capacity of the Tyne and Wear Metro, and new cycleways in Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole. In addition, the Budget will include £114 million in 2020-21 for counter-terrorism, to maintain capability and officer numbers in the face of a changing terrorist threat. As of the 2020–21 First Quarter Finances, the government is projecting a deficit of $38.5 billion in 2020–21, representing an increase of $18.0 billion from the outlook presented in the March 2020 Economic and Fiscal Update. While it will be for elected Mayors to put forward ambitious plans, the government would welcome the opportunity to support a range of schemes, such as the renewal of the Sheffield Supertram, the development of a modern, low-carbon metro network for West Yorkshire and tram-train pilots in Greater Manchester. When a government plans to pass a law, it often publishes a green paper. The new fiscal framework allows for a significant increase in growth-enhancing infrastructure investment, while maintaining control of day-to-day spending and the commitment to long-term fiscal sustainability. This rule is being extended to unlisted shares in Finance Bill 2020 to prevent further tax avoidance. [footnote 45] Around 1.1 million people will be taken out of paying Class 1 and Class 4 NICs entirely. The OBR expects annual growth in RHDI per head of 0.6% in 2020, before reaching 1.1% by 2024. HM Treasury will ensure that all necessary funding is made available to prepare for this outcome at the end of 2020. Having taken expert advice, the Budget confirms an additional £1 billion to remove unsafe cladding from residential buildings above 18 meters to ensure people feel safe in their homes. National Skills Fund – The government will consult widely in the spring on how to use the new National Skills Fund. It does much less for those that might end up having to reduce production or close temporarily because staff can’t come into work either because they are ill, self isolating or looking after children who have been sent home from school. Investment in broadband has had significant benefits to the UK economy. The government will also extend the scope of the tax to the importation of filled plastic packaging and apply a minimum threshold of 10 tonnes of plastic packaging to ensure the smallest businesses are not disproportionately impacted. The government is publishing a response to the call for evidence alongside Budget and setting out the next steps in the review. Youth Violence – The government is providing £5 million in 2020-21 to support the creation of a Centre of Excellence for Tackling Youth Violence. This would give the UK one of the highest minimum wages among developed countries. Research and innovation will reduce the costs of meeting net zero and put the UK at the forefront of the new technologies needed to decarbonise the world economy. In addition, the Budget commits over £6 billion of new funding over this Parliament, including to create 50 million more GP surgery appointments per year, ensure there are 50,000 more nurses, and fund wider commitments on hospital car parking and support for people with learning disabilities and autism. For students and those entering on the youth mobility scheme, the surcharge will rise from £300 to £470. [footnote 85] This is the first step in meeting the government’s ambition to increase these thresholds to £12,500, which would save a typical employee over £450 per year. The overall allocations of total resource and capital funding over the CSR period will be determined at the CSR in July. [footnote 87] The increase will take around 65,000 businesses out of paying NICs entirely and means the government will have doubled the value of the Employment Allowance in four years. 1 Consistent with Manual on Government Deficit and Debt, Eurostat, 2019. This will build on the previous review announced in July 2019, extending its scope to cover the full Strategic Road Network and other strategic locations in cities and rural areas. The government is exposed to £192 billion of contingent liabilities, including guarantees and insurance provided to the private sector. The Chancellor wrote to the OBR ahead of the Budget to ask it to assess the government against these rules, in addition to those set out in the Autumn 2016 Charter. Levelling up will require a great deal more than investing in capital projects. The CSR will allocate capital funding for projects across the UK to drive growth, level up economic opportunity, decarbonise the economy, and maintain and build high quality public infrastructure, including schools and hospitals. Most importantly, the current framework and set of policies do not look likely to deliver the kinds of spending growth that were implied in this budget speech. ↩, ‘Review of WLTP and vehicle taxes: summary of responses’, HM Treasury, July 2019. Digital waste tracking – The government will invest £7.2 million in a national system to enable the smart tracking of waste movements across the economy. Investing in those new Tory areas is top of Boris Johnson’s to do list. Additionally, the government is working with the Scottish Government to devolve further tax and welfare powers as set out in the Scotland Act 2016. The Economic and Fiscal Snapshot 2020 lays out the steps Canada is taking to stabilize the economy and protect the health and economic well-being of Canadians and businesses across the country. Royal Commission on the Criminal Justice process – The government will provide an additional £3 million to launch a Royal Commission on the Criminal Justice process in England and Wales. The cap was last reset at Autumn Budget 2017, following the OBR’s judgement that the government had successfully met the terms of the welfare cap set at Autumn Statement 2016. Medical Evidence for SSP – The government has already issued guidance to employers, advising them to use their discretion not to require a GP fit note for COVID-19 related absences. More spending on roads and rail won’t change the fact that in the North East, for example, only 24% of working age adults are graduates while in London it is 47%. accounting/pay period calendar fiscal year 2020 19 o c t 01 f/m p/p s m t w t f s 20 j a n 04 f/m p/p s m t w t f s 20 a p r 07 f/m p/p s m t w t f s 20 j u l 10 f/m p/p s m t w t f s [footnote 5], UK labour productivity (measured as output per hour) did not grow at all in 2019, following subdued growth of 0.5% in 2018. The government will therefore invest £2 million in 2020-21 to expand the cross‑cutting strategic science and resilience capabilities provided by the Government Chief Scientific Adviser and the Government Office for Science. The government is developing the medium- to long-term priority outcomes that it is seeking to deliver for priorities such as levelling up, as well as the metrics that will be used to measure and improve performance against these outcomes. The government is committed to increasing support for victims of crime in their experience of the criminal justice system. To inform these plans, the Infrastructure and Projects Authority will lead a study, working with departments, into supply chain capacity, to assess how industry can best deliver the government’s ambition. Ever lower borrowing costs mean that this looks sustainable for now, but there are risks. This publication is available at https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/budget-2020-documents/budget-2020. Raising real day to day spending on public services will eventually require tax rises. This will include a Rapid Charging Fund to help businesses with the cost of connecting fast charge points to the electricity grid. There will be a new discounted rate for children under the age of 18 of £470. 0. Supporting enterprise is an important part of the government’s ambition to level up opportunity across the UK. Further details on how the government is backing business can be found in Chapter 2. The government will commit up to £510 million of funding, which will be more than matched by industry to support this scheme to improve mobile coverage. In the round, though, the package of tax changes, looks piecemeal and it is not clear they are part of any long term thought through strategy. The government is providing an immediate funding boost of up to £400 million in 2020‑21 for world-leading research, infrastructure and equipment. Defence R&D – The government will invest an additional £100 million in Defence R&D. These will deliver habitat and species restoration and recovery, alongside wider natural capital benefits. This new guarantee will initially support up to £1 billion of lending on top of current support offered through the British Business Bank. Economic regulation – The government is committed to maintaining the UK’s system of strong, independent regulation. Compared with the restated March 2019 forecast, debt is lower in 2020-21, it is then higher in all the remaining years of the Budget forecast as a share of GDP, largely as a result of higher borrowing. The government will also introduce a new discounted rate of £470 for children in recognition of the increased financial impact on family groups. This unallocated portion is set at £8.0 billion (5.1% of total issuance). Following the Grenfell tragedy, one of the government’s most important objectives is to ensure residents feel safe and secure in their home. The Budget sets out an ambitious package of investment to build the high quality and affordable homes the country needs. ↩, HM Treasury internal estimate using HMRC data. [footnote 21]. The UK is already a leader in climate change and clean growth, having reduced emissions faster than any other G7 nation since 1990,[footnote 68] and being the first major economy to legislate for net zero greenhouse gas emissions. Animal health science estate – The government will invest £1.4 billion over 10 years in the animal health science infrastructure at Weybridge, enhancing the UK’s science capability whilst protecting the nation from the increasing threats of current and emerging animal diseases. Hardworking people to lead a major review into the fintech sector led Ron... Tax Relief administration to business and the best value for money and on... 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